AB
Assumption Bounty
🔵 Stable🕐 updated 2026-07-08
🔷 SkillSpec L3
pm-warroom
Extract every hidden assumption from a plan or document and put a price on each one — what it costs if wrong, what it costs to test. Use before committing to anything whose author says 'obviously' or whose spreadsheet has hardcoded cells: the bounty hunt makes the invisible load-bearing beliefs explicit and tells you which three to test this week. Produces the assumption ledger (priced and ranked), the cheapest test for each dangerous one, and the document's honest confidence statement.
What to give it
▸The document — plan, model, PRD, forecast, strategy. Spreadsheet-backed documents: include the key hardcoded numbers; each one is an assumption in a trench coat.
✅ The bar it holds itself to
Every skill in this library self-verifies — these are this skill's own quality checks, straight from its definition.
✓Every ledger entry is traceable to the document (quote or named silence) — no imported generic risks
✓Costs are in the plan's own units and orders of magnitude, not "high/medium/low" theatre
✓Each big-three test can actually KILL the assumption — confirmation-only tests are flagged and replaced
✓At least two upgrade-list items exist, or the hunt states the document was unusually explicit (rare; say it with respect)
✓The confidence statement names the chosen bets as bets — the honesty is the deliverable
⚠️ What it refuses to do
Do not list more than ~12 assumptions — past that, extraction has become transcription; rank and cut
Do not price everything as catastrophic — a ledger where everything kills the plan hides the one that actually will
Do not propose tests that cost more than being wrong — the ratio is the whole game
Do not treat acknowledged assumptions as finds — the bounty is for the hidden ones; padding with the known list is claiming someone else's kill
Do not moralise about assuming — plans require assumptions; the sin is anonymity, not existence
Install
npx pm-claude-skills add --agent claude # or codex · cursor · gemini · hermes
# or one-line MCP (every skill, any client):
claude mcp add pm-skills -- npx -y pm-claude-skills-mcpRelated skills
🔌 Embed this skill
Drop this on your blog, docs, or site — it renders a "Run this skill" card:
<div data-pm-skill="assumption-bounty"></div>
<script src="https://mohitagw15856.github.io/pm-claude-skills/embed.js" async></script>💬 Discussion
Assumption Bounty is one of 591 open-source professional AI agent skills — all SkillSpec L3.
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